Saturday, February 23, 2013

85TH ACADEMY AWARDS: PREDICTIONS & PICKS

It's the time of year again where film bloggers, critics, and all-around cinephiles share their predictions for what  the Academy (the majority being middle-aged-and-beyond white men) voted for. It's silly really, but it's the biggest night for the movies and so we are drawn like moths to the flame. I can't believe this is now the fourth year in a row that I've done a pre-Oscars post of this sort here on The Film Tome...

Here's the drill:

I'm going through each and every category (popular and unpopular, as I believe each deserves credit in the grand scope of filmmaking) and I am going to predict who will win, who should, and in most instances who should be nominated. (Note: It was an incredible year for actors and I have plenty of shout-outs to give there especially!). I will employ red text to distinguish my overall pick for each category, whether it was nominated or not. The picture in each category is of the nominated film that should win.

Should you need reminding, here's the full list of nominees.

First things first:


OSCAR NOMINEES I STILL NEED TO SEE



5 Broken Cameras
Anna Karenina 
The Gatekeepers
How to Survive a Plague
Kon-Tiki
Mirror Mirror
No
Snow White and the Huntsman
War Witch

* * *

Glad I got that out of the way, now to the categories:

WRITING (ADAPTED)


Will: Tony Kushner (Lincoln)
Should: David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook)

Should Be Nominated:
David Mitchell, Lana & Andy Wachowski, and Tom Twyker (Cloud Atlas)
Joe Carnahan and Ian Mackenzie (The Grey)
Andrew Dominik (Killing Then Softly)
Julia Loktev (The Loneliest Planet)
Jacques Audiard and Thomas Bidegain (Rust and Bone)

* * *

WRITING (ORIGINAL)



Will: Michael Haneke (Amour)
Should: Michael Haneke (Amour)

Should Be Nominated:
Leos Carax (Holy Motors)
Rian Johnson (Looper)
Paul Thomas Anderson (The Master)
Martin McDonagh (Seven Psychopaths)

* * *

SOUND EDITING



Will: Zero Dark Thirty
Should: Zero Dark Thirty

Should Be Nominated:
The Grey
Looper
The Raid: Redemption

* * *

SOUND MIXING



Will: Les Miserables
Should: Les Miserables

Should Be Nominated:
The Raid: Redemption

* * *

VISUAL EFFECTS



Will: Life of Pi
Should: Prometheus

Should Be Nominated:
The Dark Knight Rises
Rust and Bone

* * *

PRODUCTION DESIGN



Will: Anna Karenina
Should: Anna Karenina

Should Be Nominated:
The Master
Moonrise Kingdom
Prometheus

* * *

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING



Will: Les Miserables
Should: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Should Be Nominated:
Holy Motors
Looper
Prometheus

* * *

COSTUME DESIGN



Will: Jacqueline Durran (Anna Karenina)
Should: Jacqueline Durran (Anna Karenina)

Should Be Nominated:
The Master
Prometheus

* * *

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)



Will: "Skyfall" (Skyfall)
Should: "Suddenly" (Les Miserables)

Should Be Nominated:
"Ancora Qui" (Django Unchained)
"Who Were We?" (Holy Motors)

* * *

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)



Will: John Williams (Lincoln)
Should: Dario Marianelli (Anna Karenina)

Should Be Nominated:
Dan Romer and Ben Zeitlin (Beasts of the Southern Wild)
Tom Tykwer, Johnny Klimek and Reinhold Heil (Cloud Atlas)
Jim Guthrie (Inde Game: The Movie)
Jonny Greenwood (The Master)
Alexander Desplat (Rust and Bone)
Michael Stearns, Lisa Gerrard and Marcello De Francisci (Samara)

* * *

DOCUMENTARY SHORT



Will: Open Heart
Should: Open Heart

* * *

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)



Will: Paperman
Should: Adam and Dog

* * *

SHORT FILM (LIVE-ACTION)



Will: Buzkashi Boys
Should: Buzkashi Boys

* * *

FILM EDITING



Will: Zero Dark Thirty
Should: Zero Dark Thirty

Should Be Nominated:
Cloud Atlas
Samsara
Skyfall

* * *

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM



Will: FrankenWeenie
Should: Wreck-It Ralph

Should Be Nominated: 
The Rabbi's Cat
The Secret World of Arrietty

* * *

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE



Will: How to Survive a Plague
Should: Searching for Sugar Man

Should Be Nominated:
The Imposter
Indie Game: The Movie
Samsara

* * *

CINEMATOGRAPHY



Will: Roger Deakins (Skyfall)
Should: Roger Deakins (Skyfall)

Should Be Nominated:
Steve Yedlin (Looper)
Mihai Malamaire Jr. (The Master)
Ron Fricke (Samsara)

* * *

ACTRESS (IN A SUPPORTING ROLE)



Will: Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
Should: Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)

Should Be Nominated:
Ann Dowd (Compliance)
Judi Dench (Skyfall)

* * *

ACTOR (IN A SUPPORTING ROLE)




Will: Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)
Should: Phillip Seymore Hoffman (The Master)

Should Be Nominated:
Leonardo DiCaprio (Django Unchained)
Samuel L. Jackson (Django Unchained)
James Gandolfini (Killing Them Softly)
Javier Bardem (Skyfall)
Tom Courtenay (Quartet)

* * *

ACTRESS (IN A LEADING ROLE)



Will: Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)
Should: Emmanuel Riva (Amour)

Should Be Nominated:
Hani Furstenbrrg (The Loneliest Planet)
Marion Cotillard (Rust and Bone)

* * *

ACTOR (IN A LEADING ROLE)



Will: Daniel Day Lewis (Lincoln)
Should: Jaoquin Phoenix (The Master)

Should Be Nominated:
Jean-Louis Trintignant (Amour)
Jack Black (Bernie)
Denis Lavant (Holy Motors)
Suraj Sharma (Life of Pi)
Gael Garcia Bernal (The Loneliest Planet)
Matthias Schoenaerts (Rust and Bone)
Jon Hawkes (The Sessions)

* * *

DIRECTOR


Will: Steven Spielberg (Lincoln)
Should: Michael Haneke (Amour)

Should Be Nominated: 
Leos Carax (Holy Motors)
Paul Thomas Anderson (The Master)

* * *

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM



Will: Amour
Should: Amour

Should Be Nominated:
Holy Motors
Rust and Bone

* * *

BEST PICTURE




Will: Argo
Should: Django Unchained

Should Be Nominated:
Holy Motors
The Loneliest Planet
The Master
Rust and Bone

* * *

There you have it! Come tomorrow night we will see who takes home the naked golden men. It's an Awards ceremony and honor for all involved, but here on the Tome I'll keep honoring those that I feel should win and should have been nominated. Please share some of your predictions and picks in the comments below! Look forward to a companion post to this one where I go Oscar bowling!

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